Life, death, and taxes are the the only things certain in life. You can add in Manny Pacquiao beating Miguel Cotto into that equation as well. I have been thinking about this over the last few days, and I can’t think of any way Miguel Cotto defeats a motivated and determined legend like Pacquiao. He just does not have it in him. Now things could change like varibles that are out anybodys control. But if Manny Pacquiao is at his best, he will be defeat Miguel Cotto. Here are the reasons why.
Speed
Boxing is a speed sport. And Manny Pacquiao is the fastest fighter in the business. Cotto advocates will say their man has had success against Shane Mosley and Zab Judah, very fast fighters in their own right. But none of them have the consistent attack of Pacquiao. Plus remember Mosley landed 53% of his power shots against Cotto in their razor tight 2007 affair. If Manny lands at least 40% of his it will be lights out for Cotto. Not because Manny is neccessarily a harder puncher then Mosley. He is a more precise puncher then Sugar Shane. And speed and precision will equal the end of Cotto’s chances.
Style
Manny Pacquiao has the most difficult style to fight in boxing. First he is a left hander. Second he is an offensive minded left hander who can punch from all angles. Third he moves in and out better then anybody in recent memory. Judging from his recent fights, Miguel Cotto does not have the reflexes to keep up with Pacquiao’s pace. Cotto has had success against left handed fighters in the past, Zab Judah and Carlos Quintana. But Pacquiao is a whole different man. He doesn’t fight a safety first style like Quintana, and he does not make the mistakes Judah does.
Stamina
This is the main reason why Cotto will not beat Manny Pacquiao. And what I believe will be the determining factor in the fight. Cotto faded in all of his big fights. He faded against Shane Mosley, he faded against Antonio Margarito, and he faded against Joshua Clottey. What makes anybody think he will not do the same against a much more active Manny Pacquiao. Manny gets stronger as the fight goes on, evidenced by his performances with Erik Morales(2nd fight) and Marco Antonio Barrera. Cotto has a tendency to get on his bike in rounds 8 thru 12. You can’t do that against Pacquiao. He will be coming all 12 rounds with tremendous stamina. Cotto is not Julio Cesar Chavez, he won’t be in your face all night. After 6 rounds of trying to pressure Pacquiao he will revert back to trying to box, and it will not work.
Prediction
This is what WILL happen folks.(Some may think I am full of hot air, but talk to me after the fight)Cotto will come out strong, he will be the aggressor. Heck I think he may win 2 or 3 of the 1st 6 rounds. He is an excellent fighter and a great body puncher. I think he will get hurt in either round 7 or 8, maybe have a cut opened up. Pacquiao will begin to land at will, then by the 9th or 10th round it will be all she wrote. Pacquiao by 10th Round Stoppage.
Cotto fans there is a sliver of hope. Your man is the stronger and bigger fighter, and he has a great body attack. Consistent pressure is his only hope, but he is not capable of it for 12 full rounds. He is not the same fighter he was 2 years ago, and if he was I don’t think it would matter anyway. Unfortunately he is fighting Manny Pacquiao, the best fighter of his generation. This fight will turn out the same way the 2nd Erik Morales fight did, good action early, close rounds until like round 7 or 8 then Pacquiao will begin to dominate.
The only way Pacquiao loses this fight is if he doesn’t train properly and he isn’t ready fight night. But who thinks Freddie Roach or the Pacquiao team will let that happen? He won’t, Pacquiao will be ready and in shape. Michael Buffer will end the night by saying, “Winner and New WBO Welterweight Champion of the World, Manny Pacquiao!!!”
ESPY’s
I wonder if Manny Pacquiao will be on hand to accept his ESPY award in mid July. Because we know he is the odds on favorite to win the Best Fighter award. Word is some athletes who haven’t met the Pacman are excited to meet him. He has become the sort of figure that only appears once a generation. He is an icon like Tiger Woods, Lebron James and Kobe Bryant. And that is in the U.S. He is even bigger worldwide.
boxing24.com
Wednesday, July 1, 2009
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I agree wit some of what u sayn, the only thing is everyone sayn cotto doesnt look the same after clotty fight,, can u say how u would feel after bleeding for 75% of fight against someone like clotty?? Cotto pushed thru it and i beleave cotto has more heart, power.. And besides that every1 seems to think pac is a perfect fighter. Lol. He has flaws just like cotto n the rest of boxing world.. It cottos job to exploit those.
ReplyDeleteIf I were Cotto I'll back off. Why should he commit suicide against the Pac?
ReplyDeletewow are you pac's girl friend. yes he is good he is the man but i dont think its going to be as easy as you say it is. They saiud they same thing about shane that he was going to be destory by margerito. You forgot one thing about cotto that can also help him win. Which is Heart. If you know anything about boxing then you know that is a key factor. Clotty couldn't finish cotto and cotto only had one good eye in the late rounds yet he had heart. Not taking away from pac. But hitman was not in his league, delayhoya was washup he hasnt really fought 145 fighter that are in there prime like cotto is. Its going to be a good one but some body is going to get knocked out
ReplyDeleteand manny does let other boxers hit him in the stomach if he does that with cotto, well you know
people should really hope off the pac mans dick yall act like cotto has been getting his ass wup his whole career im tired of hearing how cotto is going to get beat the fight has not happend yet. what yall think cotto wont train hard yall think pacquiao does not have flaws do yall really think he can take a good punch from cotto like cotto can take one from harder hitters like Joshua Clottey or Margarito. he took alot of hits from a hits from a hard hitter with loaded gloves so give the guy some credit.
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